2024
- Edition 26 - Will house prices crash? And what’s needed to fix housing affordability
- Edition 25 - Why super and growth assets like shares really are long term investments
- Edition 24 - Seven key charts for investors to keep an eye on – where are they now?
- Edition 23 - Recession fears & share mkt falls – what it means for the RBA & investors?
- Edition 22 - The rise of populism and bigger government – what it means for investors
- Edition 21 - Australian shares at new record highs – is it sustainable?
- Edition 20 - The five reasons why the $A is likely to rise further – if recession is avoided
- Edition 19 - 2023-24 saw strong investment returns again – but can it continue?
- Edition 18 - The 9 most important things I have learned about investing over 40 years
- Edition 17 - Not another Eurozone crisis! The rise of the far right in Europe, the French election and implications for investors
- Edition 16 - Australian home prices were up again in May – but the tension between high rates and the chronic housing shortage remains
- Edition 15 - The US presidential election – implications for investors and Australia
- Edition 14 - The next move in the RBA cash rate likely remains down later this year
- Edition 13 - The 2024-25 Budget – another surplus, but bigger medium term deficits with more big spending, including on a “Future Made in Australia”
- Edition 12 - Seasonal patterns in shares – should we “sell in May and go away”?
- Edition 11 - The art of happiness – economics and the “hedonic treadmill”
- Edition 10 - Israel/Iran fears and rate cut uncertainty – shares are vulnerable to a bout of volatility but here’s five reasons why the trend will likely remain up
- Edition 9 - Seven things you need to know about the Australian property market
- Edition 8 - Seven lasting impacts from the COVID pandemic
- Edition 7 - Bitcoin to infinity and beyond…again!
- Edition 6 - 21 great investment quotes
- Edition 5 - Seven key charts for investors to watch – where are they now?
- Edition 4 - Investment outlook Q&A – recession risks, rates and inflation, valuations, geopolitics, the US election and Swiftonomics
- Edition 3 - Five problems with the Australian tax system – and the changes to Stage 3
- Edition 2 - Falling inflation – what does it mean for investors?
- Edition 1 - 2023 saw the return of Goldilocks, but what’s in store for 2024 for investors?
2023
- Edition 34 - The RBA leaves rates on hold – have we finally reached the top?
- Edition 33 - Five reasons to expect the $A to rise – providing recession is avoided
- Edition 32 - Nine key things for successful investing
- Edition 31 - Australian home prices up on supply shortfall, but at risk from high rates
- Edition 30 - Five constraints on medium term investment returns
- Edition 29 - The threat of higher oil and petrol prices flowing from the war in Israel
- Edition 28 - 1987 vs now - rising bond yields (& war in Israel) and the risks for shares
- Edition 27 - For what it’s worth: why what you pay for an investment is a key driver of its return…and how do valuations look now?
- Edition 26 - Immigration and housing affordability – why immigration should be lower
- Edition 25 - Has the RBA finished rate hikes?
- Edition 24 - Three reasons to err on the side of optimism as an investor
- Edition 23 - China’s slowdown & structural challenges & the implications for Australia
- Edition 22 - Why the need to lift productivity – and why it might be hard
- Edition 21 - Recession versus “goldilocks” – five reasons why we could still avoid recession
- Edition 20 - The confusing economic picture – why you need to know the difference between leading and lagging economic indicators
- Edition 19 - Seven key charts for investors to keep an eye on – where are they now?
- Edition 18 - 15 common sense tips to help manage your finances
- Edition 17 - 2022-23 saw investment returns rebound – but is it sustainable?
- Edition 16 - Australian recession Q&A - Why the worry? What's the risk? And what would it mean for investors?
- Edition 15 - Sell in May and go away? The worry list for shares (and the good news!)
- Edition 14 - Peak Australian home ownership - rising prosperity (and smashed avocado) versus housing affordability
- Edition 13 - Commercial property returns under threat
- Edition 12 - The 2023-24 Budget - return to surplus with fastest improvement since end of WW2, cost of living help but structural deficits remain (albeit smaller)
- Edition 11 - Australian home prices - here we go again! Prices look to have bottomed as the supply shortfall dominates, but watch rates and unemployment
- Edition 10 - RBA Review - its not clear the proposed reforms will lead to a better outcome for the Australian economy
- Edition 9 - Investment outlook Q&A - inflation, interest rates, recession, the US debt ceiling, geopolitics, house prices and other issues
- Edition 8 - Five charts on investing to keep in mind in rough times like now
- Edition 7 - Have Australian home prices bottomed? Probably not.
- Edition 6 - Shares hit another bout of turbulence – US banks, inflation, interest rates and recession risk – what it means for investors?
- Edition 5 - Nine key lessons for today from the 1970s, 80s and 90s
- Edition 4 - Seven key charts for investors to keep an eye on
- Edition 3 - The RBA hikes rates by another 0.25% - are we there yet?
- Edition 2 - Seven reasons why Australian shares are likely to outperform global shares over the medium term
- Edition 1 - 2023 - a list of lists regardng the macro investment outlook
2022
- Edition 41 - Review of 2022, outlook for 2023. Expect a rough ride, but better returns
- Edition 40 - The home price slump continued in November, with still more to go
- Edition 39 - Five medium term inflation pressures & implications for investors
- Edition 38 - Shares may have bottomed
- Edition 37 - Seven reasons why Australia should be able to avoid a recession
- Edition 35 - Seven things for investors to keep in mind in rough times like these
- Edition 34 - The perils of forecasting in investing – three things for investors to consider
- Edition 33 - The RBA hikes rates by 0.25%. Here are five reasons why the RBA was right to slowdown and the top is near
- Edition 32 - Shares sliding again – what’s driving it and is there any light at the end of the tunnel?
- Edition 31 - Australia’s productivity challenge – why it matters and what to do about it
- Edition 30 - Seven key charts for investors to keep an eye on in assessing the investment outlook
- Edition 29 - Home price falls accelerated in August – three reasons why this property downturn will likely be different
- Edition 28 - Booms, busts and investor psychology – why investors need to be aware of the psychology of investing
- Edition 27 - Investment cycles – what are they and why investors need to be aware and wary of them
- Edition 26 - Five reasons why the RBA cash rate is likely to peak (or should peak) with a 2 in front of it rather than a 3 (or more)
- Edition 25 - The good news in the plunge in markets – higher medium term return potential (assuming inflation is tamed)
- Edition 24 - Inflation in the 70s – baby boomer fantasy or nightmare? Why central banks must focus on getting inflation back down
- Edition 23 - 2021-22 saw poor investment returns – the bad news and the good
- Edition 22 - Australia’s Achilles’ heel – high household debt and rising interest rates…it’s not as bad as it looks, but it’s still an issue
- Edition 21 - The plunge in shares & flow on to super - key things for investors to keep in mind during times of market turmoil
- Edition 20 - The RBA hikes rates again with more to go – but falling confidence and home prices will limit RBA tightening
- Edition 19 - National property prices fall for the first time since the pandemic – expect a 10-15% top to bottom fall
- Edition 18 - Australia’s new Government – what does it mean for investors?
- Edition 17 - The falls in share markets this year – the bad news and the good
- Edition 16 - Another five great charts on investing that are very useful in times of uncertainty like the present
- Edition 15 - The RBA starts raising rates – how far and how fast? And what does it mean for investors?
- Edition 14 - The 2022 Australian Federal election and investors
- Edition 13 - Australian housing slowdown Q&A – What impact will higher interest rates have? How far will prices fall?
- Edition 12 - Five great charts on investing that are particularly useful in times of uncertainty like the present
- Edition 11 - The 2022-23 Australian Budget – a “magic election pudding” of more spending and lower deficits
- Edition 10 - The US Federal Reserve starts raising interest rates – implications for Australia and investors
- Edition 9 - Another energy shock and the threat from higher petrol prices
- Edition 8 - Five big picture implications of the war in Ukraine of relevance for investors – and why are Australian shares holding up better?
- Edition 7 - The escalation in Ukraine tensions – implications for investors
- Edition 6 - Investment outlook Q&A – inflation, interest rates, Russia & Ukraine, the risk of a share crash, house prices and other issues
- Edition 5 - Corrections, gummy bears and grizzly bears in shares
- Edition 4 - The RBA ends bond buying – but remains “patient” on rates. We expect the first rate hike in August
- Edition 3 - Share market falls - seven things for investors to keep in mind
- Edition 2 - Inflation Q&A – how worried should investors be about higher inflation?
- Edition 1 - 2022 – a list of lists regarding the macro investment outlook
2021
- Edition 38 - Review of 2021, outlook for 2022 – recovery to continue as we hopefully learn to live with covid
- Edition 37 - Five reasons to expect a cooling in the Australian property market and falling prices in 2023
- Edition 36 - The longer-term legacy of coronavirus – nine implications of importance to investors
- Edition 35 - Compound interest is like magic – and it’s an investor’s best friend
- Edition 34 - Central banks – including the RBA and Fed – gradually removing monetary stimulus is more good news than bad
- Edition 33 - Rising bond yields and the end of the super cycle bull market in bonds
- Edition 32 - Science and medicine appear to be getting the upper hand of coronavirus – implications for investors
- Edition 31 - The worry list for shares – how worrying are they?
- Edition 30 - Why is Australian housing so expensive and what can be done to improve housing affordability?
- Edition 29 - Correction time? Shares get the wobblies – seven things investors need to keep in mind
- Edition 28 - Five reasons why the Australian dollar is likely to resume its upswing over the next 12 months
- Edition 27 - Australian GDP slowed in the June quarter & will be hit hard by the lockdowns - but here’s 7 reasons to look beyond the gloom
- Edition 26 - China’s growth slowdown and regulatory crackdown – what does it mean for China’s growth outlook?
- Edition 25 - Six reasons why shares are at or near record levels. But is it sustainable?
- Edition 24 - Great investment quotes for topsy turvy times
- Edition 23 - Coronavirus continues to cause havoc globally and in Australia – but here are five reasons for optimism
- Edition 22 - Seven key charts for investors to watch – where are they now?
- Edition 21 - Five ways to turn down the noise and stay focused as an investor
- Edition 20 - 2020-21 saw investment returns rebound – expect more modest but still good returns this financial year
- Edition 19 - The never-ending coronavirus pandemic – why snap lockdowns in Australia make sense until herd immunity is reached
- Edition 18 - Central banks heading towards the easing exits – five reasons not to be too concerned
- Edition 17 - Inflation – why it matters for investment markets
- Edition 16 - The Australian economic recovery remained strong in the March quarter with GDP up 1.8% – seven reasons for optimism
- Edition 15 - Inflation Q&A – should we be worried about higher inflation?
- Edition 14 - The 2021-22 Australian Budget – spending the growth windfall to further grow the economy towards full employment
- Edition 13 - The return of geopolitical risk? – what to watch over the remainder of 2021
- Edition 12 - Three reasons why the long-term bull market in Australian house prices may be getting close to the end
- Edition 11 - The importance of starting point valuations for investment returns – and where are we now?
- Edition 10 - RBA on hold and likely to remain easy for a long while yet as full employment gets more of a look in
- Edition 9 - Market outlook Q&A – global recovery, vaccines, inflation, the risk of a share crash, Australia house prices and other issues
- Edition 8 - Shares have had a very strong rebound since March last year so where are we in the investment cycle?
- Edition 7 - Bitcoin – it’s not a currency, it’s not a capital asset…so what is it?
- Edition 6 - The bond crash of 2021? Seven things for investors to consider
- Edition 5 - Australian house prices on the upswing again – seven things to bear in mind about the Australian property market
- Edition 4 - Nine common mistakes investors make
- Edition 3 - Seven key charts for investors to watch regarding the global economy and investment markets this year
- Edition 2 - US political protests, inflation and rising bond yields
- Edition 1 - 2021 – a list of lists regarding the macro investment outlook
2020
- Edition 44 - The Australian Government’s Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook – peak deficit has likely now been seen
- Edition 43 - Review of 2020, outlook for 2021 – from pandemic to recovery
- Edition 42 - Modern Monetary Theory – can it help with economic problems or is it just another Magic Money Tree?
- Edition 41 - Still The Lucky Country – five reasons why Australian shares are likely to outperform in the year ahead
- Edition 40 - Joe Biden on track to become US president. Implications for investors and Australia
- Edition 39 - RBA cuts rates to just 0.1% and ramps up quantitative easing – but will it work?
- Edition 38 - Five reasons why this downturn and subsequent recovery are different – and where are we in the Australian recovery now?
- Edition 37 - Expect slower medium-term returns
- Edition 36 - Nine keys to successful investing – and why they are more important than ever in the face of the coronavirus shock
- Edition 35 - The 2020-21 Australian Budget – spend, spend, spend as the focus remains on recovery and jobs, jobs, jobs
- Edition 34 - Biden versus Trump - the US presidential election is looming as the next big event for investors
- Edition 33 - Australia’s “eye popping” budget deficit and public debt blow out – can it be paid off? Does it matter?
- Edition 32 - Market outlook Q&A – disconnect to real economy, growth v value, vaccines, property, gold, inflation and other issues
- Edition 31 - Seven reasons why the trend in shares will likely remain up, albeit with bumps along the way
- Edition 30 - Three reasons why the coronavirus crisis might fix Australia’s housing affordability crisis
- Edition 29 - RBA holds – but more stimulus likely as Victorian lockdown to knock at least $12bn from national GDP
- Edition 28 - US dollar breaking down, gold and the $A breaking up – what does it mean for investors?
- Edition 27 - Australian economic and fiscal update – record budget deficits, but more to come
- Edition 26 - The fiscal cliff is more likely to be a fiscal slope – and why concerns about Australia’s budget deficit are overblown
- Edition 25 - 2019-20 saw poor returns - but it could have been much worse
- Edition 24 - The US presidential election – implications for investors
- Edition 23 - How worried should investors be about a “second wave” of coronavirus cases?
- Edition 22 - Shares climb a “wall of worry” - but is it sustainable?
- Edition 21 - Australian house prices starting to fall – collapse likely averted but expect more weakness ahead
- Edition 20 - 10 medium to longer-term implications from the coronavirus shock
- Edition 18 - The Lucky Country - three reasons why Australia may come through this period of global misery better than most countries
- Edition 17 - Why super and growth assets like shares have to be seen as long-term investments
- Edition 16 - Light at the end of the coronavirus tunnel – what does it mean for investors?
- Edition 15 - Magic money tree – QE & money printing and their part in the coronavirus economic rescue
- Edition 14 - What signposts can we watch to be confident shares have bottomed?
- Edition 13 - The coronavirus pandemic and the economy – a Q&A from an investment perspective
- Edition 12 - Is coronavirus driving a recession, depression or an economic hit like no other? What does it mean for the bear market in shares?
- Edition 11 - The threat to Australian house prices from coronavirus
- Edition 10 - Five charts on investing to keep in mind in rough times like these
- Edition 9 - The increasing economic threat from coronavirus - what to watch for and what should investors do
- Edition 8 - The plunge in shares – seven things investors need to keep in mind
- Edition 7 - The increasing spread of Coronavirus – updated economic and investment market implications
- Edition 6 - Three reasons why low inflation is good for shares and property
- Edition 5 - From bushfires to coronavirus - five ways to turn down the noise around investing
- Edition 4 - The China Coronavirus outbreak – economic and investment market implications
- Edition 3 - Five charts to watch regarding the global economy and markets this year
- Edition 2 - Bushfires and the Australian economy
- Edition 1 - 2020 - a list of lists regarding the macro investment outlook
2019
- Edition 38 - Review of 2019, outlook for 2020 – the beat goes on
- Edition 37 - Five reasons why the $A may be close to the bottom
- Edition 36 - Why super and growth assets like shares really are long-term investments
- Edition 35 - Five reasons why I am not so fussed about the global outlook
- Edition 34 - More 21 great investment quotes
- Edition 33 - Five great charts on investing for income (or cash flow)
- Edition 32 - Has Australia really had three recessions in the last 28 years?
- Edition 31 - Investment returns have been good, but they are likely to slow over the next five years
- Edition 30 - Will the world slip up on oil again? – after oil prices spike as attacks disrupt Saudi production
- Edition 29 - Australian house prices back from the abyss – seven things you need to know about the Australian property market
- Edition 28 - Nine reasons why recession remains unlikely in Australia
- Edition 27 - Negative rates, QE & other measures the RBA may deploy – why? will it work? what would it mean for investors?
- Edition 26 - Plunging bond yields & weak share markets amidst talk of recession – what does it mean for investors?
- Edition 25 - Escalating US-China trade war - triggering (another) correction in share markets
- Edition 24 - The Fed cuts rates
- Edition 22 - The longest US economic expansion ever - does this mean recession is around the corner?
- Edition 21 - 2018-2019 saw a rough ride for investors but it turned out okay
- Edition 14 - The trade war is back - what went wrong, what it means for share markets and Australia
- Edition 13 - Seasonal patterns in shares – should we “sell in May and go away” and what about renewed trade war fears?
- Edition 12 - Inflation undershoots in Australia - why it's a concern, is the RBA running out of ammo & what it means for investors?
- Edition 11 - The 2019 Australian Federal election and investors
- Edition 10 - The 2019-20 Australian Budget- the long-awaited surplus and the promise of more tax cuts ahead of the election
- Edition 9 - Global growth slowing, plunging bond yields & inverted yield curves - not terminal but shares are due a pull back
- Edition 4 - Five great charts on investing - why they are particularly important now
- Edition 3 - Why growth in China is unlikely to slow too far and why it needs to save less and spend more
- Edition 2 - Australian housing downturn Q&A - how bad will it get?
- Edition 1 - A list of lists regarding the macro investment outlook
2018
- Edition 39 - The Fed and market turmoil - the Fed turns a bit dovish but not enough (yet)
- Edition 38 - Review of 2018, outlook for 2019 - another cycle extension
- Edition 37 - Corrections, gummy nears and grizzly bears in shares
- Edition 28 - Five things you need to know about the Australian economy
- Edition 27 - Investment returns over next 5 years are likely to slow
- Edition 26 - Why the $A is likely to fall further and shorting it is good protection against things going wrong globally
- Edition 24 - Nine keys to successful investing
- Edition 23 - Trumponomics and investment markets
- Edition 22 - The US economy - does the flattening yield curve indicate recession is imminent?
- Edition 21 - 2017-18 saw strong returns for diversified investors – but there’s a few storm clouds around
- Edition 20 - Should the RBA raise rates to prepare households for higher global rates?
- Edition 19 - Trade war risks are escalating - but a negotiated solution remains most likely
- Edition 16 - Italy is a worry - but there’s 3 reasons not to be concerned about an Itexit and Eurozone shares are attractive
- Edition 13 - After both the Australian household debt and east coast housing booms - interest rates on hold until 2020
- Edition 11 - Falling Sydney and Melbourne home pices - is this the crash? What about other cities and the impact on the economy?
- Edition 10 - Share market volatility - Trump and trade war risks
- Edition 8 - Tarrifs, Trump, North Korea and other global political risks in the Year of the Dog
- Edition 7 - The Australian economy - five reasons growth will continue but unlikely to be enough to justify rate hikes until 2019
- Edition 6 - The 'gradually' maturing investment cycle - what is the risk of a US recession?
- Edition 5 - Australian's love affair with debt - how big is the risk?
- Edition 3 - Correction time for shares?
- Edition 2 - Higher global inflation and higher bond yields - what's the risk and implications for other assets like shares & property?
- Edition 1 - A list of lists regarding the macro investment outlook
2017
- Edition 38 - The Fed hikes again, still gradual but likely to be a bit faster next year - implications for investors and Australia
- Edition 37 - Review of 2017, outlook for 2018 - still in the "sweet spot" but expect more volatility ahead
- Edition 35 - Is Australia's economy "built on shaky foundations" that are "about to collapse"?
- Edition 34 - Bubbles, busts, investor psychology... and bitcoin
- Edition 33 - The medium term investment return outlook remains constrained
- Edition 32 - Five great charts on investing for income (or cash flow)
- Edition 31 - Where are we in the global investment cycle and what's the risk of a 1987 style crash?
- Edition 30 - Will Australian house prices crash? Five reasons why it's more complicated than you think
- Edition 27 - Another five great charts on investing
- Edition 26 - The Australian economy bounces back again - five reasons why some further pick up is likely and implications for investors
- Edition 25: The Global Financial Crisis 10 years on – lessons learned and can it happen again?
- Edition 23: Inequality – is it increasing? What’s driving it? And what it means for economic growth and investors?
- Edition 22: The break higher in the Australian dollar is likely to be limited – this is not 2007 all over again!
- Edition 21: Five great charts on investing
- Edition 20: 2016-17 saw strong returns for diversified investors – here are five reasons why returns are likely to be solid in 2017-18
- Edition 19: From goldilocks to taper tantrum 2.0 – a bit of turbulence hits bonds (and shares). Three reasons not to be too fussed
